Carbon Pricing’s Impact on Global Industry Is Quietly Growing

Bridgewater

Research

17 Pages

Bridgewater examines how carbon pricing has quietly grown into a force shaping corporate earnings and industrial policy worldwide. The authors explore which sectors carry the most exposure, how Europe’s border carbon tariff is prompting other countries to build their own markets and why steel and aluminum producers are already shifting investment. Schemes now cover about 30% of global emissions.

Key Takeaways

Coverage Keeps Expanding: Carbon pricing covers roughly 30% of global emissions today and could reach 35% by 2030 under policies already underway.
Earnings At Stake: Initial cost pressure could equal 2% to 5% of global corporate earnings under current policies, rising toward 14% in a net zero scenario.
Border Tariffs Spread: The EU carbon border mechanism covers about 3% of EU imports today and could reach 17% under proposed extensions.

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