Vertigo: Preparing for Equity Drawdowns

Man Group

Research

19 Pages

Man Group’s analysis of U.S. equity drawdowns from 1926 to 2025 reveals that while drawdowns are inevitable, their characteristics—such as duration, depth, and intensity—vary significantly. The study emphasizes that most drawdowns are short-lived, with 74% lasting less than a year, and highlights the psychological challenges investors face during these periods. 

Given drawdowns are inevitable and will cause pain, Henry Neville shares five things to think about beforehand.

Key Takeaways

Drawdowns are frequent and varied: On average, a significant drawdown occurs every 2.3 years, with most being short but some exceptionally severe.
Hedging strategies offer limited relief: Assets like quality long/short equities, precious metals, and certain currencies can mitigate losses but rarely fully counteract equity downturns.
Investor psychology is crucial: Understanding one's tolerance for different drawdown profiles—sharp and brief versus prolonged and deep—is essential for effective portfolio management.

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