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U.S. Active/Passive
Together With
“Alpha is uncertain. Fees are certain.”
Bob Elliott
Research
Morningstar’s U.S. Active/Passive Barometer (36 pages)
Morningstar’s semi-annual report measures the performance of active funds against passive peers in their respective Morningstar Categories. spanning 8,212 funds that account for ~$17 trillion in assets (55.9% of the U.S. fund market). Some key takeaways:
57% of active strategies survived and beat their average passive counterpart over the 12 months through June 2023, above their 43% success rate in calendar-year 2022.
More than 63% of active strategies that invest in stocks outside the United States beat their average passive peer, an increase of 30 percentage points over calendar-year 2022.
More than 55% of active bond managers survived and beat the passive average, up from 30% in 2022.
Facts & Figures
“According to a report by the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce, more than 80% of China's 1 billion private enterprises are family-owned…” Source: Nikkei Asia
"More French people own crypto (9%) than stocks (7%) or ETFs (2%)." Source: Bloomberg
As of this fall, ~900 school districts (~7% of all districts in the US) now have four day school weeks. Source: Planet Money
Small-caps are trading at their lowest level vs. the S&P 500 (total return) in almost 23 years. Link
Goldman Sachs showing very few borrowers have a mortgage rate above the current mortgage rate.
As of November 7, 2023
Apollo on asset price bubbles since 1970.
Over the past 15 years, money invested in the benchmark US index increasing fivefold versus less than a doubling in Europe. Link
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LOOK BEYOND JUST DIVIDENDS
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Podcasts
Marks discusses his recent note, which follows up on his 2022 note titled “Sea Change.” He argues that the trends he highlighted in the original memo collectively represent a sweeping alteration of the investment environment that calls for significant capital reallocation.
Jared Kushner, former Senior Advisor to President Donald Trump, shares his views on state of geopolitics.
PIMCO CIO Dan Ivascyn shares his thoughts on the current state of the economy, rising yields, the future path of inflation, and more.
WHAT ELSE IS HAPPENING
Meb Faber spoke with Jim Bianco about the macro environment and the end of the 40-year bond bull market.
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