The Great Rotation: Part II

Verdad

Brian Chingono

Research

3 Pages

This follow-up explores the historical context behind the current record-high U.S. market weight in global indices and highlights the growing imbalance between equity representation and economic output. It underscores why a more geographically balanced allocation may better align with fundamentals.

Key Takeaways

Historical extremes: U.S. equity has reached its highest share (~63%) since the 1960s “Nifty Fifty” era, despite a smaller GDP share
Economic disconnect: The U.S. now makes up ~26% of global GDP but ~63–70% of developed-market index weight, showing a disconnect in allocations
Balanced approach favored: Rebalancing based on net income (≈55% U.S. / 45% international) may better reflect economic reality and offer improved opportunity
VIEW FULL REPORT

Join our newsletter to have all of this content + Exclusive Newsletter Bonus Content delivered to your inbox every week

Related Content

Asset Allocation
Putting Portfolios Together when the World is Falling Apart
May 2026
Momentum
The Intramonth Momentum Cycle
May 2026
Portfolio Management
Misplaced Anxiety? A Reassessment of Crowding in Systematic Investing
Apr 2026

The information contained in this communication is of a general nature for informational purposes only, and does not constitute financial, investment, tax or legal advice. The information contained within this communication reflects the opinions of those referenced herein, and do not reflect the opinions of The Idea Farm, L.P. and its affiliates. Such opinions expressed herein are as of the date of production and are subject to change at any time without notice due to various factors, including changing market conditions or tax laws. Where data or information prepared by third parties is presented, no representation, warranty, or undertaking, expressed or implied, is given to the accuracy or completeness of such information by The Idea Farm, L.P. or any other person. While such sources are believed to be reliable, The Idea Farm, L.P. does not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information and does not undertake any obligation to update the information contained herein as of any future date. Any links to third party websites are offered only for use at your own discretion. The Idea Farm L.P., and its affiliates, are separate and unaffiliated from any third parties listed herein and are not responsible for their products, services, policies or the content of their website. All investments are subject to varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy or product referenced directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, perform equally to any corresponding indicated historical performance level(s), or be suitable for your portfolio. Past performance is not an indicator of future results.

Scroll to Top