20% Returns for 100 Years

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In this issue we include research from AQR Capital Management.  They have a wonderful paper on examining trend strategies over the past 100 years.    A few highlights below:



We study the performance of trend-following investing across global markets since 1903, extending the existing evidence by more than 80 years. We fi nd that trend-following has delivered strong positive returns and realized a low correlation to traditional asset classes each decade for more than a century. We analyze trend-following returns through various economic environments and highlight the diversifi cation benefi ts the strategy has historically provided in equity bear markets. Finally, we evaluate the recent environment for the strategy in the context of these long-term results.

And a few figures from the paper:

Here is the  PDF:

A Century of Evidence on Trend Following

For more information:


AQR Capital Management, LLC I Two Greenwich Plaza, Third Floor I Greenwich, CT 06830 I T : 203.742.3600 I F : 203.742.3100 I www.aqr.com