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⚠️ Warning Signs
The Idea Farm
August 18, 2024
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“Benign neglect is the secret to long-term investing success.”
Research
UBS - The CEO Macro Briefing Book (79 pages)
UBS offers an update on their “Roaring 20’s” thesis for the US economy, covering the cooling macro environment, the recent rotation in stocks, dealmaking activity in the second quarter, and an updated election outlook.
Lyrical Asset Management - Warning Signs (6 pages)
The S&P 500 outperformed the S&P 500 Equal Weight by one of the widest differentials on record in the second quarter. Is this a warning sign of potential significant underperformance for the years ahead?
As of June 30, 2024
Meketa - The Art of Patient Investing (15 pages)
Meketa makes the long-term case for a diversified portfolio and explores various areas where investors may want to remain patient in the current market.
Bonus Content
What if you owned no U.S. stocks? Link
Has the consumers’ shift from buying goods to having fun created distortions in economic data? Link
Novo, Ozempic’s manufacturer, has turned Denmark into a ‘pharmastate’ and has almost single-handedly rescued the country from a recession. Link
Does private equity truly offers diversification to long equity and bond markets? Link
Jensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA, shares stories and lessons from building the multi-trillion dollar company (56 minutes). Link
Start earning today
Turn out the lights on traditional savings accounts. With our high-yield cash account, your money is earning 11x the national average**.
*The national average savings account interest rate is reported by the FDIC (as of 3/18/24) as the average annual percentage yield (APY) for savings accounts with deposits under $100,000.
Podcasts
 8/7/24 - 65 minutes | Professor Damodaran explains how structural shifts in the economy have fundamentally altered the investing landscape. |
 8/9/2024 - 67 minutes | Grantham shares his updated views on the stock market, covering AI, bubbles, the fertility crisis, climate change, and more. |
 8/8/2024 - 92 minutes | For the first 60 minutes, Louis-Vincent Gave covers gold prices and emerging markets, China’s long-term energy policy and what this all means to the global economy. |
What Else Is Happening
Did you miss last week’s email?
Meb Faber spoke with Roger Mitchell about investing in sports and the myriad of factors affecting the business of sports.
Deal of the Week
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