MidYear Credit Outlook: Adoption, Financing, and Investing in the Age of AI

Apollo

Research

23 Pages

Apollo explores the shifting credit landscape as persistent inflation forces a structural repricing of risk assets. The authors argue that public fixed income is losing its traditional diversification benefits.

Key Takeaways

Private premium expansion: Direct lending strategies currently offer a 250 basis point yield advantage over public syndications.
Default rate stabilization: Middle market defaults remain contained at roughly 2.1% due to robust interest coverage ratios.
Public market shrinkage: Over 40% of institutional capital allocations are now actively bypassing traditional corporate bond issuances.

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