Apollo explores the shifting credit landscape as persistent inflation forces a structural repricing of risk assets. The authors argue that public fixed income is losing its traditional diversification benefits.
MidYear Credit Outlook: Adoption, Financing, and Investing in the Age of AI
Apollo
Research
23 Pages
Key Takeaways
Private premium expansion: Direct lending strategies currently offer a 250 basis point yield advantage over public syndications.
Default rate stabilization: Middle market defaults remain contained at roughly 2.1% due to robust interest coverage ratios.
Public market shrinkage: Over 40% of institutional capital allocations are now actively bypassing traditional corporate bond issuances.