Dipping a Toe in the Water 

3Fourteen Research

Warren Pies

Research

13 Pages

3Fourteen Research argues the near 25% selloff has reset valuations enough to justify cautiously re entering risk. It is not calling a durable bottom, but says about one third of its bottom checklist has triggered. The provocative takeaway is practical: deploy 25 to 33% of discretionary capital even while inflation and earnings risk remain unresolved.

Date published: June 16, 2022

Key Takeaways

Measured re-entry: Gradual buying approach that increases exposure as more bottoming signals confirm.
Valuation crosscurrents: Mixed valuation signals that look better on forward metrics than on long term cyclicals.
Oil driven inflation: Energy price dynamics that can shape inflation expectations, rates, and risk asset rebounds.
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