Credit Suisse examines how emerging capital markets could reshape global finance by 2030 as equity and bond issuance accelerates across developing economies. The paper argues emerging markets may command 39% of global equity capitalization by 2030, challenging assumptions that developed markets will remain structurally dominant.
Emerging capital markets: The road to 2030
Credit Suisse
Research
64 Pages
Key Takeaways
Equity Market Expansion: Emerging equity market capitalization increased from USD 1.8 trillion in 1996 to USD 13.3 trillion in 2014, representing an 11.9% CAGR across 18 years.
Capital Market Convergence: Emerging markets represented 39% of global output in 2014 but only 21.6% of global equity capitalization, highlighting a sizable development gap.
Institutional Demand Growth: Domestic emerging market funds are projected to absorb USD 6 trillion in equities and USD 33 trillion in combined bond issuance through 2030.