Emerging capital markets: The road to 2030

Credit Suisse

Research

64 Pages

Credit Suisse examines how emerging capital markets could reshape global finance by 2030 as equity and bond issuance accelerates across developing economies. The paper argues emerging markets may command 39% of global equity capitalization by 2030, challenging assumptions that developed markets will remain structurally dominant.

Key Takeaways

Equity Market Expansion: Emerging equity market capitalization increased from USD 1.8 trillion in 1996 to USD 13.3 trillion in 2014, representing an 11.9% CAGR across 18 years.
Capital Market Convergence: Emerging markets represented 39% of global output in 2014 but only 21.6% of global equity capitalization, highlighting a sizable development gap.
Institutional Demand Growth: Domestic emerging market funds are projected to absorb USD 6 trillion in equities and USD 33 trillion in combined bond issuance through 2030.

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