Emerging-Market Bonds: A Fixed Income Asset With Equity-Like Returns (And Risks)

Vanguard

Research

16 Pages

Vanguard outlines the case for actively managed emerging market bonds, focusing on how disciplined security selection and risk control can potentially deliver consistent returns in a volatile asset class. The paper argues EM debt offers attractive yield and diversification, while challenging the idea that alpha requires large macro bets.

Key Takeaways

80% EM Allocation Rule: The fund invests at least 80% in emerging market fixed income, reinforcing a structural commitment to the asset class rather than opportunistic exposure.
Hard Currency Dominance: Roughly 60%–75% of the portfolio is allocated to hard currency sovereign debt, aiming to reduce volatility while maintaining yield advantages over developed markets.
Limited FX Risk Exposure: Unhedged local currency exposure is capped at 10%, highlighting a deliberate effort to control currency-driven drawdowns in historically volatile markets.

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