Frontier Markets

Meketa

Research

11 Pages

Meketa Investment Group outlines how frontier markets function as a distinct asset class, emphasizing their structural differences from emerging markets and the portfolio implications of investing in less developed, illiquid economies. The paper highlights diversification benefits but notes extreme drawdowns, including a 53% decline during 2008, raising questions about whether the return premium justifies the risk.

Key Takeaways

Severe Drawdown Risk: MSCI Frontier Markets Index fell 53% in 2008, with some markets like Serbia dropping 84% and still not recovering after 10 years.
Meaningful Market Scale: Frontier markets represent roughly $11 trillion GDP and $1.1 trillion equity market cap across about 2 billion people globally.
Higher Structural Costs: Corruption can reduce growth by over 2% annually, while wider bid-ask spreads and taxes materially increase transaction and ownership costs.

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