Robeco’s Multi-Asset Market Outlook explores how rising political risks and trade tensions are testing markets that remain supported by solid global growth and corporate earnings. Despite volatility, the paper argues fundamentals still outweigh risks, even as investor sentiment turns more cautious.
Multi-Asset Market Outlook
Robeco
Research
26 Pages
Key Takeaways
Earnings Growth Resilient: US earnings growth is expected around 20%–25% in 2018, with tax cuts boosting profits but underlying expansion still driving more than half of gains.
Italy Systemic Concern: Italy’s debt sits near 130% of GDP, and as roughly 15% of Eurozone output, its political instability presents broader regional risk implications.
Volatility Without Damage: Global equities posted about 2% returns year to date despite trade tensions and political shocks, suggesting markets are absorbing negative news without significant drawdowns.
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