OECD Economic Outlook

OECD

Research

300 Pages

OECD frames the global outlook around Middle East conflict risks, energy disruption, inflation pressure and policy constraints. Under its time limited disruption case, global growth slows from 3.4% in 2025 to 2.8% in 2026 before recovering to 3.1% in 2027.

Key Takeaways

Growth Slows First: Global GDP growth is projected at 2.8% in 2026 and 3.1% in 2027 if energy prices ease from mid 2026.
Inflation Reaccelerates: G20 inflation is expected to rise from 3.4% in 2025 to 4.0% in 2026 before easing to 3.1% in 2027.
Downside Is Severe: Prolonged disruption could cut global growth to 2.1% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027, while lifting inflation further.
VIEW FULL REPORT

Join our newsletter to have all of this content + Exclusive Newsletter Bonus Content delivered to your inbox every week

Related Content

Market Outlooks
Equity Outlook: AI Enthusiasm Leaves Little Margin for Error
Jul 2026
Market Outlooks
Global Mid-Year Outlook 2026
Jul 2026
Market Outlooks
OECD‑FAO Agricultural Outlook 2026‑2035
Jul 2026

The information contained in this communication is of a general nature for informational purposes only, and does not constitute financial, investment, tax or legal advice. The information contained within this communication reflects the opinions of those referenced herein, and do not reflect the opinions of The Idea Farm, L.P. and its affiliates. Such opinions expressed herein are as of the date of production and are subject to change at any time without notice due to various factors, including changing market conditions or tax laws. Where data or information prepared by third parties is presented, no representation, warranty, or undertaking, expressed or implied, is given to the accuracy or completeness of such information by The Idea Farm, L.P. or any other person. While such sources are believed to be reliable, The Idea Farm, L.P. does not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information and does not undertake any obligation to update the information contained herein as of any future date. Any links to third party websites are offered only for use at your own discretion. The Idea Farm L.P., and its affiliates, are separate and unaffiliated from any third parties listed herein and are not responsible for their products, services, policies or the content of their website. All investments are subject to varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy or product referenced directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, perform equally to any corresponding indicated historical performance level(s), or be suitable for your portfolio. Past performance is not an indicator of future results.

Scroll to Top