Robeco examines whether subdued volatility and improving economic data are masking growing risks across global markets. The piece highlights investor complacency, stretched valuations, and diverging regional opportunities, arguing emerging markets still trade at nearly 30% discounts while Europe faces weakening earnings revisions and policy uncertainty.
Multi Asset Markets Outlook
Robeco
Research
25 Pages
Key Takeaways
Emerging Market Discount: Emerging market equities traded at nearly a 30% valuation discount to developed markets despite improving momentum and stabilizing investor sentiment.
Profit Margins Peaking: S&P 500 profit margins reached 9.4%, surpassing 2007 highs, though rising wages and higher rates could limit further expansion.
Europe Losing Momentum: European equities traded at 14.2x forward earnings versus a 10 year average of 11.8x while earnings revisions remained the weakest globally.