Small Cap Quality Strategy: 10 Takeaways from the Past Three Years

GMO

Research

5 Pages

GMO reviews what its Small Cap Quality strategy learned in its first three years of live performance. The note argues quality kept working through AI enthusiasm, speculative junk rallies, and tariff volatility, with the strategy outperforming the S&P 600 by more than 4% per year net of fees.

Key Takeaways

Quality Kept Winning: Since launch in September 2022, the strategy outperformed the S&P 600 by more than 4% per year net of fees through 2025.
Speculation Created Pain: A junk rally starting in July 2024 hurt relative results, but cumulative shareholder returns still reached 55% versus 35% for the S&P 600.
AI Exposure Stayed Low: Correlation to the AI ETF was 0.76 for the strategy versus 0.88 for the S&P 500, showing much lower AI beta in small cap quality.

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