Deutsche Bank Research Institute looks at why the US became the world’s dominant economic power and whether those advantages can last into its 250th year. The paper weighs America’s geography, energy base, capital markets, and innovation culture against rising challenges from China, fiscal pressure, and strain on the dollar-led global system.
US at 250 – Why has the US been so successful and can it continue?
Deutsche Bank
Peter Sidorov
Research
15 Pages
Key Takeaways
Economic divergence: In the first half of the 20th century, the US economy grew 5.7x, versus Germany at 3.4x.
Scale still matters: A domestic market of over 300m people helped produce 8 of the world’s 10 largest firms.
Productivity cushion: A 0.5-point productivity boost could hold public debt to 110% by 2036, instead of 120%.