Bridgewater analyzes the sources of U.S. equity market outperformance over the past decade and assesses the likelihood of similar conditions ahead.
US Exceptionalism: Drivers of Equity Outperformance and What’s Needed for a Repeat
Bridgewater
Atul Narayan, Alex Greene
Research
15 Pages
Key Takeaways
Balanced Drivers: U.S. outperformance stemmed equally from faster sales growth, margin expansion, and higher valuations.
Broad-Based Strength: Tech led gains but stronger management, capital efficiency, and pro-corporate policy supported all sectors.
Future Challenge: Many tailwinds like tax cuts and fiscal stimulus have faded, leaving productivity gains from AI as the key variable.