US Exceptionalism: Drivers of Equity Outperformance and What’s Needed for a Repeat

Bridgewater

Research

15 Pages

Bridgewater analyzes the sources of U.S. equity market outperformance over the past decade and assesses the likelihood of similar conditions ahead.

As of September 17, 2024

Key Takeaways

Balanced Drivers: U.S. outperformance stemmed equally from faster sales growth, margin expansion, and higher valuations.
Broad-Based Strength: Tech led gains but stronger management, capital efficiency, and pro-corporate policy supported all sectors.
Future Challenge: Many tailwinds like tax cuts and fiscal stimulus have faded, leaving productivity gains from AI as the key variable.

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