Investing Around the Election and the Government Debt Problem

BlackRock

Research

10 Pages

Rick Rieder explores how U.S. economic resilience and rising government debt shape investment opportunities during and after the election cycle. He argues the U.S. economy remains strong and “the technicals and fundamentals of credit markets, especially in high yield, have arguably never been better.” He also touches on the US debt burden and why the way to solve it is to try to outgrow it.

Key Takeaways

Economy remains sturdy: Recent GDP and jobs data show stronger growth and savings than previously reported, highlighting economic resilience
Debt burden looms: Rising mandatory spending and interest costs on government debt could impact fiscal health over the next decade
Focus on growth spend: Targeted fiscal investments—like infrastructure and technology—may help grow GDP and ease debt pressures

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