Putin’s Invasion Reminds Us That We Live in a Finite World

GMO

Research

4 Pages

GMO’s Jeremy Grantham uses the invasion of Ukraine as a lens on long running constraints in energy, metals and other natural resources. He argues that decades of underinvestment, climate pressures and geopolitical conflict reinforce a structural backdrop where resource scarcity is a recurring feature rather than a passing shock.

Date Published: April 2022

Key Takeaways

Finite resources: Commodity supply is ultimately constrained by geology, investment cycles and environmental limits, even when prices temporarily fall.
Underinvestment theme: Long periods of weak capital spending in resource sectors can set the stage for prolonged tightness and price spikes.
Portfolio implications: Exposure to resource producers and related real assets can help balance portfolios in more inflationary environments.

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