Goldman Sachs Research raises their data center power demand outlook and now expects 220% growth by 2030 vs. 2023 levels (vs +175% previously). This report explores how rising hyperscaler reinvestment impacts six key factors—Pervasiveness of AI, Productivity of servers and compute, Prices of electricity needed to expand supply, Policy initiatives, Parts availability, and People availability—that will shape opportunities and challenges for energy infrastructure and investment.
How Rising Hyperscaler Reinvestment Impacts the 6 Ps Driving Power Growth/Constraints
Goldman Sachs
Research
27 Pages
Key Takeaways
AI Revenue Growth: Rising hyperscaler investment and some projected erosion of still-high high corporate returns elevate focus on AI revenue growth and Sustainable Development Goal-advancing AI solutions. Goldman is incrementally more positive on AI value from accelerated rate/pace of drug discoveries.
People Remains A Key Constraint: While there are increased signs wage inflation may prompt greater supply of electricians and other transmission/distribution jobs, their updated outlook increases both demand and execution risk.
Reliability: They remain positive on data center power supply chain and broader theme of Reliability — rising investment needed to mitigate outages of power, water, supply chains, networks amid rising demand, aging infrastructure and physical risk.