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AI
Firm
Type
Markets
February 2026
Valuing AI: Extreme Bubble, New Golden Era, or Both?
GMO
Research
15 Pages
GMO explores whether today’s enthusiasm for artificial intelligence represents a genuine “new golden era” or simply a classic market bubble with elevated valuations detached from fundamentals.
Global Macroeconomics
February 2026
The Macro Implications of the AI Capex Boom
Bridgewater
Research
12 Pages
Bridgewater explains why the current surge in AI-related capital expenditure is a much bigger macroeconomic force than consensus expects.
AI
January 2026
2025 LLM Year in Review
Research
11 Pages
Andrej Karpathy reviews how 2025 reshaped large language models, focusing on training, evaluation and how people work with these systems.
AI
December 2025
How Much Does AI Rhyme with shAle?
Carlyle
Research
9 Pages
Carlyle compares the current artificial intelligence compute boom with the shale energy investment cycle to ask how much history rhymes.
AI
December 2025
Google’s Gemini 3 Means AI’s “Resource Grab” Phase Is On
Bridgewater
Research
9 Pages
Bridgewater Associates uses Google Gemini 3 as evidence that artificial intelligence has entered a resource grab phase driven by compute, chips and power.
Markets
December 2025
Would the real AI bubble please stand up? A brief guide to boom or bust
Deutsche Bank
Research
24 Pages
Deutsche Bank explains why they think that reports of a bubble are exaggerated (for now), as well as what could go wrong.
AI
December 2025
The Benefits of Bubbles
Stratechery
Article
11 Pages
Ben Thompson argues that speculative bubbles around new technologies can still create lasting real world benefits. He contrasts destructive mean reversion bubbles with productive inflection bubbles that finance infrastructure and experimentation.
AI
December 2025
AI eats the world
Research
90 Pages
Benedict Evans uses his November 2025 deck to examine how generative AI is reshaping technology, capital flows, and competition.
AI
November 2025
Beyond the Bubble: Why We Think AI Infrastructure Will Compound Long after the Hype
KKR
Research
20 Pages
KKR argues the AI buildout—especially data centers, power, and connectivity—has bubble-like pockets but durable, compounding fundamentals.
AI
November 2025
Why we are not in a bubble… yet
Goldman Sachs
Research
29 Pages
Peter Oppenheimer explains why he believes the markets show froth but aren’t quite yet in bubble territory.
AI
November 2025
Surviving the AI Capex Boom
Sparkline Capital
Research
14 Pages
Kai Wu finds historical capital expenditure booms have typically resulted in overinvestment, excess competition, and poor stock returns.
AI
October 2025
Artificial intelligence
UBS
Research
13 Pages
Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, UBS CIO & Global Head of Equities, shares an update on her 10 AI views.
Global Macroeconomics
August 2025
Canaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of Artificial Intelligence
Stanford University
Research
57 Pages
Stanford researchers use payroll data from ADP to analyze how generative AI adoption is reshaping employment across occupations.
Markets
March 2025
The AI Boom vs. the Dot-Com Bubble: Have We Seen This Movie Before?
Research Affiliates
Research
22 Pages
Rob Arnott looks at the parallels between the AI narrative driving the current market and the dot-com bubble of a quarter century ago.
Markets
February 2025
The Humanoid 100: Mapping the Humanoid Robot Value Chain
Morgan Stanley
Research
86 Pages
Morgan Stanley's report identifies 100 publicly traded companies poised to benefit from the rise of humanoid robotics.
Global Macroeconomics
February 2025
AI, demographics, and the U.S. economy
Vanguard
Research
33 Pages
Vanguard examines the push and pull between artificial intelligence and demographic-driven deficits, exploring their impact on U.S. economic growth in the decade ahead.
Markets
January 2025
Another Sputnik Moment
Gavekal
Research
5 Pages
In a more recent note, Louis-Vincent Gave suggests China’s recent launch of Deepseek challenges prevailing beliefs underpinning the bull market in U.S. growth stocks.
Markets
December 2024
10 for 10: Themes for the Next Decade
Man Group
Research
9 Pages
Man Group presents ten secular investment themes expected to shape markets over the coming decade, grounded in geopolitical shifts, structural economic changes, and technological disruption.
Markets
September 2024
Latest in AI: Five clues to the future of AI in recent headlines
Deutsche Bank
Research
17 Pages
Deutsche Bank covers five AI themes and what they suggest about the future of AI.
Global Macroeconomics
September 2024
Is an AI Bubble Ahead of Us or Behind Us?
Bridgewater
Research
13 Pages
Greg Jensen suggests that the combination of breakthrough AI advancements and a ripe macroeconomic environment indicates the AI bubble may still be forming, rather than behind us.
Markets
September 2024
A severe case of COVIDIA: prognosis for an AI-driven US equity market
J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Research
14 Pages
Michael Cembalest covers the impact of AI on the U.S. stock market and what’s needed to justify the hundreds of billions in AI-related capital spending by big-tech.
Markets
August 2024
CONCENTRATE! Is it like 2000 again?
GMO
Research
3 Pages
GMO compares the S&P 500 today to 2000, looking at market concentration, fundamentals and valuations.
Markets
May 2024
Learn from Last Tech Bubble to Embrace GenAI Mania
Research Affiliates
Research
8 Pages
Research Affiliates studies the internet bubble of the 1990s as a guide for how to think about the AI craze today.
AI
May 2024
What Machines Can’t Master: Humans in the Age of AI
Citi
Research
108 Pages
Citi explores how the rapid advance of artificial intelligence is reshaping the workforce, emphasizing the enduring value of human capabilities that machines cannot replicate.
Global Macroeconomics
April 2024
Generally Faster: The Economic Impact of Generative AI
Research
30 Pages
Andrew McAfee partners with Google to write about the benefits & challenges of AI on the economy.
Global Macroeconomics
January 2024
GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models
Research
43 Pages
In Meb’s episode with Rick Rieder, Rick mentioned this was the most impactful paper he read last year. It investigates the potential implications of large language models (LLMs) on the U.S. labor market.
Markets
September 2023
The NVIDIA/AI Singularity: Breakthrough, Bubble, or Both
Research Affiliates
Research
10 Pages
Research Affiliates looks at Nvidia and the AI boom through the lens of past tech manias.
Markets
August 2023
Investing in AI: Navigating the Hype
Sparkline Capital
Research
17 Pages
Sparkline Capital examines how to invest in artificial intelligence while avoiding the boom bust patterns of past tech revolutions.