Can Private Markets Be the Alternative to Lofty Public Market Valuations?

Apollo

Research

10 Pages

With both stocks and bonds becoming more correlated and trading at elevated valuations, Apollo looks at whether or not private markets can enhance potential returns and improve diversification. The report highlights the limitations of traditional 60/40 portfolios in the current environment and suggests that private market investments may provide more resilient portfolio construction.

Key Takeaways

Elevated Public Market Valuations: The S&P 500's forward P/E ratio stands at 21.7, indicating an expected annualized return of approximately 3% over the next three years, which is below historical averages.
Concentration Risk in Equities: Market performance is increasingly driven by a small number of mega-cap stocks, raising concerns about concentration risk and potential volatility in public equity markets.
Private Markets as a Diversification Tool: Private market investments offer access to differentiated return drivers and lower correlations with public markets, potentially enhancing portfolio resilience and improving risk-adjusted returns.

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