Asset Allocation

Global Macroeconomics
February 2026

2025’s Implications for the Future: “Some Like it Hot”?

Research Affiliates

Jim Masturzo

Research

28 Pages

Jim Masturzo says markets in a high temperature regime show unpredictable correlations and return patterns compared with stable low volatility environments.

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Asset Allocation
December 2025

Decoding Markets: The accidental death of diversification

Schroders

Dan Suzuki

Research

14 Pages

Schroeders explains how the classic 60/40 portfolio became the most concentrated balanced portfolio in modern history, and how to bring genuine diversification back to life.

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Asset Allocation
November 2025

Curing Paranoia

Man Group

Henry Neville

Research

23 Pages

Man Group uses two centuries of data to compare risk parity with classic 60-40 portfolios and draw asset allocation lessons.

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Alternative Assets
November 2025

Alternatives & Strategic Asset Allocation Creating a robust framework for private investors

Deutsche Bank

Research

24 Pages

Deutsche Bank explains how alternative investments can be integrated into a strategic asset allocation for private investors. The paper details the evolution of private markets, clarifies what counts as an alternative asset, and emphasizes risk factor diversification over headline outperformance.

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Portfolio Management
November 2025

Diversifying Alternatives and the Rearview Mirror

AQR

Antti Ilmanen, Thomas Maloney

Research

13 Pages

Antti Ilmanen looks at why diversifying alternatives are hard for investors to stick with. He contrasts their objective case in portfolios with the behavioral biases and rearview mirror thinking that lead to under allocation. 

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Asset Allocation
November 2025

Multi-Asset Strategies and Asset Allocation

Vanguard

Research

22 Pages

Vanguard’s Investment Strategy Group presents a tax aware multi asset construction framework that optimizes after tax outcomes by modeling income, dividend, and capital gains rates alongside rebalancing frictions.

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Asset Allocation
November 2025

Strategic Style Allocation: Absolute or Relative?

Robeco

Pim van Vliet

Research

17 Pages

Robeco examines how to allocate equity styles for absolute versus benchmark-relative goals, demonstrating how factor combinations can be tailored to meet different investment objectives.

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Asset Allocation
November 2025

A New Era of Higher Inflation Risks

Bridgewater

Ziad Hindo, James Riseley

Research

17 Pages

Bridgewater says most portfolios remain poorly equipped to manage structurally higher inflation risks than pre-COVID.

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AI
November 2025

Surviving the AI Capex Boom

Sparkline Capital

Kai Wu

Research

14 Pages

Kai Wu finds historical capital expenditure booms have typically resulted in overinvestment, excess competition, and poor stock returns.

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Asset Allocation
October 2025

A Second Opinion on the 60/40 Default

GMO

Ben Inker

Research

10 Pages

GMO reexamines the 60/40 portfolio through a valuation lens and argues that today’s starting point warrants a more dynamic approach.

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Asset Allocation
October 2025

Investing in Everything, Everywhere, All at Once

Goldman Sachs

Peter Oppenheimer

Research

44 Pages

Peter Oppenheimer's team looks at the World Portfolio, which is the sum of all investable assets globally (estimated to be roughly US$250trn, or 200% of world GDP) and has returned 7.8% nominal and 4.1% in real terms annually since 1950.

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Asset Allocation
October 2025

Long-term treasuries in diversified portfolios

Meketa

Frank Benham, Lily Hillis

Research

18 Pages

Meketa analyzes the role of long-term U.S. Treasuries in institutional portfolios, emphasizing their unique ability to hedge equity drawdowns, dampen volatility, and enhance liquidity during stress periods.

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Portfolio Management
September 2025

When Public Meets Private: Rethinking the Modern Market

Morningstar

Sanjay Arya, Daniel Cook

Research

12 Pages

Morningstar Indexes introduces the Morningstar PitchBook US Modern Market 100 Index, a benchmark combining 90 public and 10 private companies to capture the full scope of the modern U.S. equity landscape.

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Portfolio Management
August 2025

American Unexceptionalism

GMO

Ben Inker, John Pease

Research

15 Pages

GMO challenges the long-held belief in U.S. equity superiority by breaking down the S&P 500’s outperformance into key sources—80% derived from dollar strength and valuation expansion, not sustained fundamental growth.

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Portfolio Management
July 2025

In an Unsteady World, Time to (Finally) Tilt Away from U.S. Equities?

Acadian

Research

5 Pages

Acadian argues that post‑Global Financial Crisis tailwinds that favored U.S. equities have diminished, making a case to rebalance toward non‑U.S. equities.

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Portfolio Management
June 2025

The International Rebalance

Morgan Stanley

Jitania Kandhari

Research

7 Pages

Morgan Stanley highlights the entrenched home‑country bias among U.S. investors, with nearly 15 years of U.S. equity dominance masking broader opportunities abroad.

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Portfolio Management
June 2025

Balancing Act: Building Resilient Portfolios in a Changing Landscape

PIMCO

Erin Browne, Emmanuel Sharef

Research

6 Pages

PIMCO’s mid-2025 asset allocation outlook outlines a systematic approach to building resilient portfolios amid policy uncertainty and shifting global growth dynamics.

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Portfolio Management
June 2025

Risk Speedometers: What are allocators buying and selling?

Vanguard

Research

12 Pages

Vanguard shares what allocators are buying and selling across more than 100 sub-asset classes, durations, styles, sectors and thematic investment strategies.

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Portfolio Management
May 2025

Alternatives & Strategic Asset Allocation Creating a robust framework for private investors

Deutsche Bank

Christian Nolting

Research

24 Pages

Deutsche Bank outlines a strategic framework for incorporating alternatives into long-term asset allocation, emphasizing their role in diversification and risk balance.

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Portfolio Management
May 2025

Go Small or Go Home

AQR

Chris Doheny, Peihan Zhao, Charles Fattouche

Research

9 Pages

AQR explores why small caps, especially in the international and emerging regions, present a compelling investment opportunity driven by the potential for higher expected market returns, attractive earnings growth, strong diversification benefits, and rich alpha opportunities.

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Portfolio Management
April 2025

Market Timing: More than a Mirage

Man Group

Campbell Harvey, Álvaro Cartea, Alex Preston, Jonas Thulin

Research

12 Pages

Man Group says market timing, when executed with skill and discipline, is a powerful tool that allocators should use in seeking to deliver returns to their investors across the cycle.

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Portfolio Management
April 2025

What Should You Do When You Don’t Know What to Do?

Man Group

Peter Weidner, Harry Moore, Tarek Abou Zeid, Yash Panjabi

Research

14 Pages

Man Group emphasizes that in the face of heightened market uncertainty, investors should focus on three core principles: diversification, volatility-based exposure management, and systematic risk controls.

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Portfolio Management
January 2025

2035: An Allocator Looks Back Over the Last 10 Years

AQR

Cliff Asness

Research

6 Pages

Cliff Asness presents a fictional endowment manager reflecting on a decade of underwhelming investment performance, emphasizing the enduring value of diversification, disciplined asset allocation, and contrarian investing, especially when such approaches are out of favor.

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Portfolio Management
January 2025

Can Private Markets Be the Alternative to Lofty Public Market Valuations?

Apollo

Alexander Wright

Research

10 Pages

With both stocks and bonds becoming more correlated and trading at elevated valuations, Apollo looks at whether or not private markets can enhance potential returns and improve diversification.

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Portfolio Management
December 2024

Choosing the Right Diversifying Strategies for your Portfolio

NEPC

Kadmiel Onodje, Kyan Nafissi

Research

14 Pages

NEPC looks at true diversifying strategies - those that utilize investment processes that produce returns driven by idiosyncratic risk rather than factor risk.

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Asset Allocation
November 2024

Negative Correlations, Positive Allocations

PIMCO

Erin Browne

Research

8 pages Pages

PIMCO discusses the resurgence of the inverse relationship between bonds and stocks, highlighting its potential to enhance risk-adjusted returns in multi-asset portfolios.

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Portfolio Management
October 2024

Against Apathy

Man Group

Henry Neville

Research

9 Pages

Man advocates for a balanced investment strategy that includes asset and regional diversification and selective market timing to manage risk and reduce potential losses during market downturns, challenging the idea that a purely passive, U.S.-focused stock approach is always best.

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Portfolio Management
October 2024

A Second Opinion Is Just What the Doctor Ordered

GMO

Ben Inker

Research

9 Pages

GMO shares where they see opportunity if you are willing to look different than a standard, capitalization-weighted 60/40 portfolio.

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Portfolio Management
October 2024

Broad Strategic Asset Allocation: Sizing Allocations to Liquid and Illiquid Alternatives Alongside Traditional Assets

AQR

Research

21 pages Pages

AQR's Portfolio Solutions Group explores the integration of liquid and illiquid alternative investments into traditional portfolios, aiming to enhance diversification and improve risk-adjusted returns.

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Portfolio Management
October 2024

Concentrated Equity: Practice Versus Premise

Acadian

Research

12 pages Pages

Acadian critically examines the efficacy of concentrated equity strategies, which focus on a limited number of high-conviction holdings, to determine if they deliver superior active returns compared to more diversified approaches.

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Portfolio Management
September 2024

Risk Speedometers: What are allocators buying and selling?

Vanguard

Research

12 Pages

Vanguard analyzes allocators' risk appetite and what they’re buying and selling across more than 100 sub-asset classes, durations, styles, sectors, and thematic investment categories.

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Asset Allocation
August 2024

The Risk and Reward of Investing

Robeco

Ronald Doeswijk

Research

44 Pages

Ronald Doeswijk and Laurens Swinkels analyze the risks and rewards of investing by constructing a comprehensive global market portfolio valued at $150 trillion, covering the period from 1970 to 2022.

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Portfolio Management
July 2024

Worth the Weight

S&P Global

Tim Edwards, Anu Ganti, Hamish Preston

Research

19 Pages

S&P Dow Jones Indices examines the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index’s historical outperformance, identifying the structural and factor-based drivers behind its returns relative to the traditional market-cap-weighted benchmark.

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Portfolio Management
June 2024

Should Your Stock Portfolio Consider Your Career?

Morningstar

Philip Straehl, Robert ten Brincke, Carlos Gutierrez Mangas

Research

35 Pages

Morningstar explores how investors can improve risk-adjusted returns by aligning stock portfolios with their nontradable wealth, such as human capital and restricted stock units.

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Portfolio Management
May 2024

Analysis of Large US University Endowment Outperformance

True North Institute

Stan Miranda, David Hurdle

Research

29 Pages

Stan Miranda analyzed the performance of 12 large US university endowments and shares four key takeaways.

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Portfolio Management
March 2024

The Cockroach Approach

Mutiny Funds

Jason Buck

Research

86 Pages

The Mutiny team wrote a long paper on the cockroach portfolio, which shares their framework for portfolio construction to compound wealth in both boom and bust environments.

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Portfolio Management
March 2024

Record Highs…But We’re Still Excited

GMO

Research

2 Pages

This brief piece from GMO explains why an abundance of cheap assets and appealing valuation spreads within asset classes presents the best relative asset allocation opportunity they’ve seen in 35 years.

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Portfolio Management
December 2023

Constructing return-target portfolios: A time-varying, valuation-aware approach to asset allocation

Vanguard

Research

14 Pages

Vanguard presents a framework for building return target portfolios that link medium term return goals to evolving market valuations.

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Portfolio Management
December 2023

Endowment asset allocations: insights and strategies

Research

20 Pages

This paper highlights the importance of asset allocation in portfolio performance, along with the relevance of various asset classes (including International Equity, Real Estate, and Natural Resources) over time.

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Portfolio Management
November 2023

Beyond the Status Quo: A Critical Assessment of Lifecycle Investment Advice

Research

29 Pages

This paper challenges two central tenets of lifecycle investing — savers should diversify across stocks and bonds and the young should invest more heavily in stocks than the old.

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Portfolio Management
October 2023

Honey, the Fed Shrunk the Equity Premium

AQR

Thomas Maloney

Research

18 Pages

AQR Capital Management examines how higher interest rate levels affect equity risk premia and strategic asset allocation.

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Portfolio Management
July 2023

The Road Ahead: Of Rocks and Hard Places

Man Group

Henry Neville, Graham Robertson

Research

7 Pages

Man Institute explores how long only equity and bond investors can navigate an unappealing valuation backdrop using portfolio construction tools.

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Portfolio Management
May 2023

International Diversification— Still Not Crazy after All These Years

AQR

Cliff Asness, Antti Ilmanen, Dan Villalon

Research

12 Pages

AQR Capital Management revisits international equity diversification and argues it still makes sense even after a long stretch of US outperformance.

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Portfolio Management
March 2023

Risk Mitigating Strategies (RMS) Framework

Meketa

Ryan Lobdell, Jason Josephiac, Brian Dana

Research

10 Pages

Meketa Investment Group lays out a risk mitigating strategies framework that groups defensive tools by how they behave in equity stress.

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Portfolio Management
February 2023

A Century of Asset Allocation Crash Risk

Samonov & Sorokina

Mikhail Samonov, Nonna Sorokina

Research

56 Pages

Samonov and Sorokina analyze one century of asset allocation crash risk across popular portfolio frameworks.

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Portfolio Management
January 2023

Don’t Lose Faith in the 60/40 Portfolio

Morningstar

Lauren Solberg

Research

13 Pages

Morningstar reassesses the classic 60/40 mix and argues its core logic still holds.

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Portfolio Management
January 2023

After a Timeout, Back to the Meat Grinder!

GMO

Jeremy Grantham

Research

10 Pages

GMO argues the first and easiest leg of a speculative bubble has burst, but risks remain.

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Portfolio Management
January 2023

Quarterly Letter 4Q 2022

GMO

Ben Inker

Research

9 Pages

GMO reviews how 2022 rewarded patience as speculative assets deflated and unfashionable exposures held up.

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Portfolio Management
January 2023

Functional Allocation Framework

Meketa

Colin Bebee

Research

18 Pages

Meketa outlines a portfolio design that groups assets by what they do rather than by traditional labels.

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Portfolio Management
August 2022

Alternative Thinking – New Rules of Diversification

AQR

Research

18 Pages

AQR looks at why 2022 felt like a “different kind” of recession risk, where inflation and tightening can pressure both stocks and bonds at once.

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Portfolio Management
July 2022

Investing in Deflation, Inflation, and Stagflation Regimes

Robeco

Guido Baltussen, Laurens Swinkels, Pim van Vliet

Research

38 Pages

Robeco examines how stocks, bonds, and factor premiums behave across deflation, inflation, and stagflation regimes.

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Portfolio Management
July 2022

The Stock/Bond Correlation

AQR

Research

18 Pages

AQR Capital Management explains why the stock and bond correlation may turn positive again and why that matters.

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