Is (Systematic) Value Investing Dead?

AQR

Research

18 Pages

AQR Capital Management challenges the idea that systematic value investing is “dead,” arguing that recent underperformance reflects an unusual disconnect between prices and fundamentals rather than a structural breakdown. The paper leans on both theory and empirical evidence to show value remains tied to long-term return drivers, even after a decade of weak results.

Key Takeaways

Decade Of Underperformance: Value lagged growth for roughly 10 years, marking one of the longest droughts historically, yet similar periods have reversed with strong subsequent excess returns.
Fundamental Gap Expansion: The spread between cheap and expensive stocks widened to extreme levels, with valuation dispersions reaching near historical highs during the drawdown period.
Cross Asset Evidence: Value premiums persist across equities, bonds, currencies, and commodities, with prior research documenting consistent positive returns across multiple decades and regions.

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