Russell Growth and Value Indexes: the enduring utility of style

FTSE Russell

Research

30 Pages

Russell examines the long standing cycle between growth and value investing, arguing that extreme valuation spreads may signal a potential turning point. The paper highlights that the valuation gap between growth and value reached one of the widest levels in history, exceeding levels seen during the late 1990s.

Key Takeaways

Extreme Valuation Spread: The growth versus value valuation gap reached over 90th percentile historically, surpassing levels observed during the 2000 tech bubble.
Mean Reversion Potential: Historically, after similar spreads, value outperformed growth by ~5–7% annually over the following 5 years.
Cycle Duration Matters: Growth outperformance persisted for over 10 years, one of the longest stretches on record, increasing reversal probability.

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