Investing for the Right Tail: Asymmetric Wealth Creation Across Public and Private Markets

Meketa

13 Pages

Meketa Investment Group examines “right-tail” investing, where a small minority of companies drives most long-run wealth creation. The paper argues investors are better served by broad exposure and letting winners compound than trying to select them, while private markets require deliberate diversification, access, and patience to capture similar asymmetry.

Key Takeaways

Few stocks dominate: Roughly 2% of companies generated about 90% of aggregate net wealth, while six major winners added around $17 trillion.
Winners test patience: The six largest recent US wealth creators suffered an average 80% peak-to-trough decline, underscoring the difficulty of holding eventual winners.
Private dispersion widens: Venture capital’s average return was 23.5% versus a 14.9% median, while its 10-year interquartile spread reached 19.5%.

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