Financial History

Bubbles
June 2026

Over the (Very) Long Run, Stock Bubbles Are Rare

Yale University

William Goetzmann

Article

5 Pages

Yale Insights looks at whether rapid industry booms usually spill into broader market crashes.

Read more
Financial History
May 2026

Finaeon Guide to Global Financial Markets 2026 Edition

Finaeon

Bryan Taylor

Research

350 Pages

Bryan Taylor’s annual paper provides comprehensive coverage of the performance of financial markets in 27 countries and 3 global markets.

Read more
Financial History
May 2026

Six lessons from history’s greatest financial crises

Financial Times

Robin Wigglesworth, Gillian Tett

Article

48 Pages

Financial Times uses financial history to show why today’s risks are not as new as they appear.

Read more
Financial History
April 2026

The Miracle of Markets and the 100-Year Dataset That Changed the World

Dimensional

David Booth

Research

10 Pages

Dimensional explains how 100 years of CRSP market data changed investing by replacing guesswork with evidence.

Read more
Financial History
April 2026

Housing Prices, Wars, and Epidemics over Six Centuries

Research

47 Pages

Swiss Finance Institute examines six centuries of Stockholm housing data to test how wars, bubbles, and epidemics affect house prices over time.

Read more
Financial History
April 2026

50 years. 50 facts. Indexing since 1976.

Vanguard

Article

5 Pages

Vanguard shared 50 facts from 50 years of index investing.

Read more
Financial History
April 2026

Reconstructing a Century of U.S. Corporate Bonds: Credit Risk in Historical Perspective

Research

65 Pages

The authors construct a new historical corporate bond database spanning 128 years, from 1895 to 2022, allowing them to estimate a corporate bond counterpart to the equity risk premium.

Read more
Alternative Assets
March 2026

An Index of Commodity Futures Returns Since 1871

Research

22 Pages

The authors document the returns to a broadly diversified index of commodity futures over more than 150 years of U.S. market history.

Read more
Developed Markets
March 2026

The long-term performance of Swiss equities and bonds (1900–2025)

Pictet

Djâafar Aballeche, Nadia Gharbi

Research

12 Pages

Pictet Wealth Management analyzes the long-term performance of Swiss equities and bonds back to 1900.

Read more
Annual Report
March 2026

Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2026

UBS

Elroy Dimson

Research

24 Pages

The UBS Global Investment Returns Yearbook offers a comprehensive record of long-term performance across stocks, bonds, bills, currencies, and other asset classes, tracing developments back to 1900.

Read more
Financial History
December 2025

Global Housing Returns, Discount Rates, and the Emergence of the Safe Asset, 1465 2024

Paul Schmelzing

Research

77 Pages

Boston College reconstructs centuries of housing returns and discount rates to understand how real estate and sovereign bonds evolved as core assets.

Read more
Markets
March 2025

Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2025 (GIRY)

UBS

Elroy Dimson, Dr. Mike Staunton, Paul Marsh

Research

22 Pages

UBS updated their annual GIRY, which highlights the evolution of global markets over the past 125 years.

Read more
Markets
November 2024

Pricing of Corporate Bonds: Evidence From a Century-Long Cross-Section

Research

48 Pages

This study presents a comprehensive corporate bond return database covering 128 years of U.S. financial history, offering insights into pricing patterns and risk factors that were previously obscured by shorter data samples.

Read more
Markets
June 2024

The Life Cycle of Market Champions

Bridgewater

Bob Prince, Thomas Maisonneuve, Khia Kurtenbach

Research

12 Pages

Bridgewater takes a historical look at how market champions of the past and if there are insights into how today’s market champions may perform in the next decade.

Read more
Markets
May 2024

Learn from Last Tech Bubble to Embrace GenAI Mania

Research Affiliates

Que Nguyen

Research

8 Pages

Research Affiliates studies the internet bubble of the 1990s as a guide for how to think about the AI craze today.

Read more
Annual Report
March 2024

Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2024 (GIRY)

UBS

Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, Mike Staunton

Research

57 Pages

This annual report from UBS is a great guide to historical returns for, covering 35 markets and five composite indexes, with some dating back to 1900. It’s one of our favorite reads every year.

Read more
Annual Report
February 2023

Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2023

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, Mike Staunton

Research

54 Pages

Credit Suisse Research Institute distills a century plus of global market history to frame realistic expectations for returns and risk.

Read more
Annual Report
March 2022

Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2022 Summary Edition

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

50 Pages

Credit Suisse explores how 122 years of global asset returns can inform today’s inflation-driven regime shift.

Read more
Annual Report
March 2021

Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2021 Summary Edition

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

76 Pages

Credit Suisse Research Institute explores over a century of global market returns, with a particular focus on emerging markets and their evolving role in portfolios.

Read more
Portfolio Management
April 2020

Equity Styles And the Spanish Flu

Robeco

Guido Baltussen, Pim van Vliet

Research

5 Pages

Robeco analyzes how equity factor styles behaved during the Spanish Flu alongside World War I, using extended historical data to study market stress before modern datasets.

Read more
Annual Report
February 2020

Summary Edition Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2020

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

48 Pages

Credit Suisse explores over a century of global asset returns, focusing on ESG investing, long-term performance, and factor strategies across 23 markets.

Read more
Miscellaneous
June 2019

Russell US Indexes – 40 Years Of Insights

FTSE Russell

Research

31 Pages

FTSE Russell walks through the evolution of its US equity indexes, explaining how a rules-based, comprehensive framework reshaped benchmarking and passive investing.

Read more
Annual Report
February 2019

Summary Edition Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2019

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

43 Pages

Credit Suisse examines 119 years of global asset returns, comparing equities, bonds, and cash while exploring risk premiums, emerging markets, and factor investing across 23 countries.

Read more
Financial History
September 2018

Misleading Lessons of History

Newfound Research

Corey Hoffstein, Justin Sibears

Research

8 Pages

Newfound Research explores how investors often draw misleading conclusions from historical market data, especially when evaluating strategies and asset performance.

Read more
Annual Report
February 2018

Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

43 Pages

Credit Suisse examines 118 years of global asset returns, factor investing, and private wealth performance to frame today’s low return environment.

Read more
Annual Report
February 2018

Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018

Credit Suisse

Research

22 Pages

Credit Suisse explores 118 years of asset returns, factor investing, and private wealth trends to frame today’s low return environment.

Read more
Markets
November 2017

The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015

Federal Reserve Bank

Research

123 Pages

The study investigates historical returns across major asset classes since 1870, finding that both housing and equities have generated similar returns, though housing shows lower volatility. It also highlights that, globally, the weighted rate of return on capital was twice as high as the growth rate in the past 150 years.

Read more
Miscellaneous
September 2017

Why Selling a Big Position of Puts the Day Before the Crash of ‘87 was a Great Trade

O’Shaughnessy Asset Management

Jim O'Shaughnessy

Research

2 Pages

Jim O’Shaughnessy reflects on how selling his put position hours before the 1987 crash reshaped his investing philosophy.

Read more
Portfolio Management
June 2017

Historical Returns of the Market Portfolio

Robeco

Ronald Doeswijk

Research

51 Pages

This paper reconstructs the global market portfolio from 1960 through 2015, tracking returns across equities, real estate, and bonds to examine how the average investor actually performed.

Read more
Financial History
June 2017

The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870 to 2015

Katharina Knoll

Research

83 Pages

The authors examine 150 years of returns across housing, equities, bonds, and bills, arguing that housing has historically matched equities while delivering lower volatility.

Read more
Miscellaneous
April 2017

LTCM Brochure

LTCM

Research

12 Pages

Long-Term Capital Management’s white paper explains how leveraged fixed income arbitrage unraveled during the 1998 Russian debt crisis, exposing hidden liquidity risks across global markets.

Read more
Annual Report
February 2017

Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2017: Slide Deck

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

40 Pages

Credit Suisse explores how 117 years of market history can frame expectations for equities, bonds, inflation, and factor investing.

Read more
Financial History
October 2016

Two Centuries of Price-Return Momentum

Financial Analysts Journal

Christopher Geczy, Mikhail Samonov

Research

25 Pages

Financial Analysts Journal examines whether momentum investing persisted across 212 years of US market history using newly assembled stock data from 1801 onward.

Read more
Financial History
October 2016

Echoes of 1999: The Tech Bubble and the “Asian Flu”

Research Affiliates

Rob Arnott

Research

6 Pages

Research Affiliates compares today’s market backdrop to the late 1990s, arguing collapsing inflation expectations, expensive U.S.

Read more
Annual Report
February 2016

Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2016

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

72 Pages

Credit Suisse examines how rising interest rates have historically influenced stocks, bonds, and investor behavior across 21 countries since 1900.

Read more
Financial History
January 2016

The Enduring Effect of Time-Series Momentum on Stock Returns Over Nearly 100-Years

Ian D’Souza

Research

53 Pages

The authors examine whether time-series momentum in stocks has persisted across nearly 100 years, challenging efficient market assumptions.

Read more
Markets
February 2015

Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2015

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh

Research

68 Pages

Credit Suisse examines how shifting industry leadership, responsible investing, and equity discount rates have shaped long run returns across 115 years and 26 markets.

Read more
Markets
May 2014

Changing Times, Changing Values: A Historical Analysis of Sectors within the US Stock Market 1872-2013

Oliver Bunn, Robert Shiller

Research

76 Pages

This paper examines how passive investing’s explosive growth may be distorting market structure, weakening price discovery, and increasing concentration risk across equities.

Read more
Financial History
March 2012

Déjà Vu All Over Again

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

11 Pages

Oaktree Capital explains why investors should study history instead of assuming recent market trends will continue indefinitely.

Read more
Miscellaneous
December 2008

Volatility + Leverage = Dynamite

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

13 Pages

Oaktree examines how excessive leverage combined with misunderstood risk turned a housing downturn into a financial crisis.

Read more
Markets
October 2008

The Limits to Negativism

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

10 Pages

Oaktree examines how extreme investor pessimism can create opportunity by separating probable outcomes from emotional narratives during financial crises.

Read more
Financial History
September 2007

Now It’s All Bad?

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

15 Pages

Oaktree examines how excessive leverage, easy liquidity, and shifting investor psychology turned a contained subprime mortgage problem into a broader credit crisis.

Read more
Miscellaneous
July 2007

It’s All Good… Really?

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

10 Pages

Oaktree Capital Management explains how small financial shocks can spread through markets when leverage, psychology, and interconnected risks amplify their effects.

Read more
Miscellaneous
July 2007

It’s All Good

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

14 Pages

Oaktree Capital Management examines how market cycles, investor psychology, and abundant credit can create dangerous periods of excessive optimism.

Read more
Miscellaneous
February 2007

The Race to the Bottom

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

10 Pages

Oaktree Capital Management examines how abundant liquidity and intense competition can push investors and lenders toward weaker underwriting standards and greater risk.

Read more
Alternative Assets
December 2006

Pigweed

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

14 Pages

Oaktree explains how the collapse of Amaranth exposed timeless lessons about leverage, risk management, and investor behavior.

Read more

Join our newsletter to have all of this content
+ Exclusive Newsletter Bonus Content
delivered to your inbox every week

Scroll to Top