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Economics
Firm
Type
Behavioral Finance
July 2026
Once Bitten: Why Investors Won’t Buy Back a Stock That Burned Them
Essentia Analytics
Research
7 Pages
Essentia Analytics explores why investors often refuse to repurchase stocks they previously sold at a loss, even when fundamentals improve.
Demographics
July 2026
How Aging and Declining Populations Will Drive Product and Company Demand Tailwinds/Headwinds
Goldman Sachs
Research
53 Pages
The authors examine how aging populations and falling fertility rates could reshape product, industry, and company demand.
Economics
July 2026
Global Views: More Crude, Less Concern
Goldman Sachs
Research
10 Pages
Goldman Sachs explains why easing tensions between the US and Iran have improved the economic outlook despite continued uncertainty in oil markets.
Economics
July 2026
The Post‑COVID Decline in the Labor Share
Federal Reserve Bank
Article
6 Pages
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York examines why the U.S. labor share has fallen to a post-war low after COVID.
AI & Labor Markets
June 2026
Predicting AI job exposure
Article
8 Pages
Benedict Evans argues that AI job exposure models may be less predictive than they look.
Demographics
June 2026
The Path to 2075 — Is Convergence Really Over?
Goldman Sachs
Research
15 Pages
Goldman Sachs argues economic convergence is not over when countries are weighted by population rather than treated equally.
AI & Labor Markets
June 2026
How to Guess If Your Job Will Exist in Five Years
The Atlantic
Research
5 Pages
The Atlantic argues that AI’s labor impact depends on whether a job is more like “coal” or “horse.”
Active Management
June 2026
The Myth of Consistency
Virtus Investment Partners
Research
3 Pages
Virtus Investment Partners argues that long term fund winners rarely look like winners in every short window.
AI & Labor Markets
June 2026
AI’s Labor Ambitions: Separating Myth From Reality
Apollo
Research
5 Pages
Apollo argues AI is unlikely to cause mass unemployment, but investors should not dismiss labor disruption either.
AI & Labor Markets
June 2026
Why AI will transform, not replace, your job
Capital Group
Research
7 Pages
Capital Group argues AI is more likely to reshape work than eliminate it outright.
Economics
June 2026
Global Market Views: Shortages
Goldman Sachs
Research
14 Pages
Goldman Sachs looks at how the Iran ceasefire and easing tail risk have helped markets rally despite lingering shortages in energy and AI infrastructure.
Economics
May 2026
Global Views: Bending, Not Breaking
Goldman Sachs
Research
10 Pages
Goldman Sachs argues that the 10 week Strait of Hormuz closure has hurt global growth only moderately so far.
Global Macroeconomics
May 2026
The Long-Run Effects of Technological Disruption on Workers
Goldman Sachs
Research
16 Pages
Goldman Sachs studies four decades of worker level data to assess how technology driven job displacement affects employment, wages, wealth, and household formation.
AI & Labor Markets
May 2026
AI Will Reshape More Jobs Than It Replaces
BCG
Research
22 Pages
BCG examines how AI may reshape work without turning every automatable task into job loss.
AI & Labor Markets
May 2026
P(doom), p(bling), and the fear of “technological unemployment”
BCG
Research
6 Pages
BCG Center for Macroeconomics examines whether AI should be viewed through extremes of extinction, abundance, or mass job loss.
Global Macroeconomics
May 2026
The Path to 2075: The Positive Story of Global Aging
Goldman Sachs
Research
21 Pages
Goldman Sachs argues that global aging may be less of a demographic crisis than many assume.
Economics
May 2026
The Economics of Intelligence
Citadel
Research
18 Pages
Citadel Securities argues that AI may be less about replacing labor and more about expanding demand for compute, power, infrastructure, and skilled workers.
Economics
April 2026
A Q&A on Our Economic Forecasts Amid the Evolving War with Iran
Goldman Sachs
Research
17 Pages
Goldman Sachs updates its US macro outlook around the Iran war and oil shock. It now sees higher inflation, slower growth, and a softer labor market, but still expects the Fed to cut twice this year rather than hike into the shock.
AI & Labor Markets
April 2026
The AI Jobs Scare Meets 250 Years of Data
American Enterprise Institute
Article
7 Pages
Why do economists generally seem more cautious than many folks in Silicon Valley about the potential economic impacts of artificial intelligence?
Economics
April 2026
Testing Resilience
OECD
Research
28 Pages
The OECD’s latest economic outlook incorporates the impact of the conflict in the Middle East on the global economy.
Economics
December 2025
Work from Home and AI Trends
Research
26 Pages
Stanford's Nick Bloom shared an update on work from home and AI trends.
Global Macroeconomics
December 2025
An Update to the Demographic Outlook, 2025 to 2055
Congressional Budget Office
Research
15 Pages
CBO projects that the U.S. population will increase from 350 million people in 2025 to 367 million people in 2055.
Economics
November 2025
Jobless Growth
Goldman Sachs
Research
15 Pages
Jan Haitzus’ team looks at the state of the labor market and considers the potential macro, monetary policy, and market implications of rapid technological progress.
Global Macroeconomics
May 2025
The Path to 2075 – The Positive Story of Global Aging
Goldman Sachs
Research
21 Pages
Goldman Sachs reframes global aging as an opportunity rather than a crisis, noting that longevity gains and healthier aging are extending effective working lives.
Global Macroeconomics
April 2025
The Impact of Uncertainty on Investment, Hiring, and Consumer Spending
Goldman Sachs
Research
17 Pages
Goldman Sachs Research analyzes the impact of heightened policy uncertainty on U.S. business investment, hiring, and consumer spending.
Global Macroeconomics
April 2025
What’s Driving the Surge in U.S. Corporate Profits?
Federal Reserve Bank
Research
7 Pages
The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis reports that U.S. corporate profits have reached near-record highs since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, both in nominal terms and as a share of national income.
Global Macroeconomics
March 2025
Rising Toxicity and the Threat to Capitalism and Life Itself
GMO
Research
19 Pages
Jeremy Grantham warns that the unchecked spread of synthetic industrial chemicals—particularly endocrine disruptors—is a growing yet underrecognized risk to human health, biodiversity, and the future viability of modern economic systems.
Global Macroeconomics
February 2025
Ferguson’s Law: Debt Service, Military Spending, and the Fiscal Limits of Power
Hoover Institution
Research
34 Pages
Historian Niall Ferguson introduces a principle suggesting that a great power is at risk of decline when its debt servicing costs surpass its defense spending.
Global Macroeconomics
February 2025
AI, demographics, and the U.S. economy
Vanguard
Research
33 Pages
Vanguard examines the push and pull between artificial intelligence and demographic-driven deficits, exploring their impact on U.S. economic growth in the decade ahead.
Global Macroeconomics
January 2025
Dependency and depopulation: Confronting the consequences of a new demographic reality
McKinsey & Company
Research
82 Pages
McKinsey explores the implications of a new demographic reality brought on by falling fertility and increasing longevity.
Global Macroeconomics
January 2025
Did the U.S. Really Grow Out of Its World War II Debt?
IMF
Research
55 Pages
Last year, the IMF released a paper that analyzed the role of three factors to the U.S. public debt/GDP ratio from 106% in 1946 to 23% in 1974: primary budget surpluses, surprise inflation, and pegged interest rates before the Fed-Treasury Accord of 1951.
Markets
December 2024
10 for 10: Themes for the Next Decade
Man Group
Research
9 Pages
Man Group presents ten secular investment themes expected to shape markets over the coming decade, grounded in geopolitical shifts, structural economic changes, and technological disruption.
Global Macroeconomics
September 2024
Change Required: Immigration Reform is an Economic Necessity
Research Affiliates
Research
8 Pages
Research Affiliates explains why immigration reform is necessary for the future success of the U.S. economy, noting that immigration of skilled workers in short supply boosts growth of the labor force and enhances productivity.
Markets
August 2024
Mind the Gap 2024
Morningstar
Research
20 Pages
This report examines how investor behavior—specifically, the timing of purchases and redemptions—creates a persistent gap between fund returns and investor returns.
Global Macroeconomics
June 2024
The roar is getting a little louder: Assessing the “Roaring ‘20s” outlook for the US economy
UBS
Research
47 Pages
This report assesses whether the U.S. economy is entering a new macroeconomic regime similar to the 1990s “Roaring 20s.”
Markets
May 2024
Improving investing outcomes by minimizing investor bias
Vanguard
Research
5 Pages
Vanguard explores how cognitive biases can impede investment decision-making and offers strategies to mitigate their impact.
Global Macroeconomics
April 2024
Exploring the Implications of Sub-Saharan Africa’s Demographic Explosion
Bridgewater
Research
9 Pages
This paper explores how sub-Saharan Africa’s rapidly expanding working-age population may shape the global economy over coming decades.
Global Macroeconomics
December 2023
The Evolution of Work From Home
Research
28 Pages
The authors examine how work from home has evolved from a marginal practice to a central feature of modern labor markets.
Global Macroeconomics
November 2022
History Lessons: How “Transitory” Is Inflation?
Research Affiliates
Research
9 Pages
Research Affiliates challenges the idea that inflation reliably cools on a quick schedule once it spikes.
Global Macroeconomics
October 2022
Aging, Deflation, and Secular Stagnation
Federal Reserve Bank
Research
9 Pages
The Atlanta Fed’s Policy Hub digs into the effects of rapid population aging on inflation, real interest rates, and GDP growth, which may be causing deflationary pressures and secular stagnation.
Global Macroeconomics
August 2022
Insights into the Inflation Print
Research Affiliates
Research
10 Pages
Research Affiliates unpacks why a better looking monthly inflation number can hide stickier underlying pressures.
Global Macroeconomics
November 2021
The Rise and Rise of the Global Balance Sheet: How Productively Are We Using Our Wealth?
McKinsey & Company
Research
32 Pages
McKinsey Global Institute examines how global wealth has expanded faster than economic output using a “global balance sheet” framework.
Global Macroeconomics
June 2019
Vanguard Research: Megatrends The Economics of a Fraying World
Vanguard
Research
32 Pages
Vanguard explores how aging populations are reshaping global economic growth, labor markets, and investment outcomes.
Global Macroeconomics
November 2018
Ghosts of Disruption Past, Present and Future.
Invesco
Research
16 Pages
Invesco explores how past industrial revolutions and current technological shifts are shaping a new era of economic disruption.
Global Macroeconomics
April 2017
Narrative Economics
Research
43 Pages
Professor Shiller address considers the epidemiology of narratives relevant to economic fluctuations.
Global Macroeconomics
June 2014
Economic World Cup 2014
IR&M
Research
41 Pages
Ineichen Research & Management mixes World Cup forecasting with macroeconomics, demographics, corruption, and market risk to argue that national economic conditions often mirror football success.
Global Macroeconomics
November 2013
Deflationary Pressures Mounting in Europe
Pictet
Research
16 Pages
Pictet examines the global macroeconomic backdrop, market leadership, and the evolving case for hedge funds as financial conditions normalize.
Global Macroeconomics
March 2013
The Big Four Economic Indicators: Industrial Production and Real Retail Sales Advisor Perspectives
Research
24 Pages
This paper examines the four economic indicators most closely associated with U.S. recession dating and explains how they can help investors interpret the business cycle.
Global Macroeconomics
February 2013
Hyperinflations, Hysteria, and False Memories
GMO
Research
14 Pages
GMO examines what really causes hyperinflation, arguing that severe supply shocks, foreign currency debt, and social conflict matter far more than money printing alone.
Global Macroeconomics
December 2012
Did Hurricane Sandy Depress The November ISM?
Pantheon
Research
3 Pages
Pantheon Macroeconomic Advisors examines whether Hurricane Sandy temporarily distorted the November 2012 ISM manufacturing survey and argues underlying economic momentum remained stronger than the headline suggested.
Global Macroeconomics
September 2012
Draghi Put Kicks In
IR&M
Research
45 Pages
Ineichen Research and Management examines the widening gap between weakening global economic fundamentals and increasingly optimistic market behavior following central bank intervention.
Global Macroeconomics
July 2012
Wriston’s Law of Capital
IR&M
Research
61 Pages
Ineichen Research & Management examines how “Wriston’s Law of Capital” shapes the movement of money, talent, and ideas across countries, arguing that capital gravitates toward jurisdictions where it is welcomed and treated well.