Miscellaneous

Alternative Assets
September 2026

The Financing Gap in Sports

Apollo

Al Tylis

Research

21 Pages

The authors examine sports as an increasingly institutionalized asset class, arguing that soaring franchise values and conservative balance sheets create a financing gap.

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Miscellaneous
August 2026

Federal Data Terminations Tracker

dataindex.us

Research

108 Pages

The Federal Data Terminations Tracker shares the most policy-relevant, verified source of federal datasets terminated since January 2025.

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Miscellaneous
August 2026

The Wisdom of Crowds in Markets

Counterpoint Global

Michael Mauboussin, Dan Callahan

Research

58 Pages

Michael Mauboussin reviews the wisdom of crowds in the context of prediction markets, sports betting markets, parimutuel betting markets, and the stock market, finding it is a powerful way to explain how markets capture known information, making them generally efficient (and hard to beat).

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Financial Fraud
July 2026

TikTok gurus made property investing look easy. I lost thousands

The Economist

Will Coldwell

Article

6 Pages

The Economist explores how social media property influencers turned real estate investing into a seemingly effortless path to wealth.

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Miscellaneous
July 2026

Gaming Gambling’s Elements

John Holden

Research

17 Pages

John Holden examines how gambling’s traditional three-part test—consideration, chance, and prize—is struggling with loot boxes, daily fantasy sports, sweepstakes casinos, and prediction markets.

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Miscellaneous
June 2026

Facts From 1H26

Research

The Idea Farm highlights 70 data points from the first half of 2026 that capture shifts across investing, AI, markets, demographics, technology, and geopolitics.

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Financial Fraud
June 2026

The Cattle Empire That Turned Out to Be a Giant Ponzi Scheme

The Wall Street Journal

Margot Patrick, Patrick Thomas

Article

4 Pages

The Wall Street Journal examines how Brian McClain’s cattle operation became a $170 million fraud built on imaginary livestock.

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Bubbles
June 2026

Over the (Very) Long Run, Stock Bubbles Are Rare

Yale University

William Goetzmann

Article

5 Pages

Yale Insights looks at whether rapid industry booms usually spill into broader market crashes.

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Miscellaneous
June 2026

How Barnes & Noble Became Private Equity’s Most Radical Retail Experiment

Bloomberg

Adam Chandler

Research

3 Pages

Bloomberg explains how Barnes & Noble CEO James Daunt seems to have pulled off one of retail’s most surprising turnarounds.

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Chris Hohn
May 2026

How Chris Hohn built the world’s most profitable hedge fund

Financial Times

Costas Mourselas, Amelia Pollard

Article

4 Pages

Financial Times profiles how Chris Hohn turned TCI into a hedge fund built around concentration, moats and philanthropy.

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Financial History
May 2026

Finaeon Guide to Global Financial Markets 2026 Edition

Finaeon

Bryan Taylor

Research

350 Pages

Bryan Taylor’s annual paper provides comprehensive coverage of the performance of financial markets in 27 countries and 3 global markets.

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Financial History
May 2026

Six lessons from history’s greatest financial crises

Financial Times

Robin Wigglesworth, Gillian Tett

Article

48 Pages

Financial Times uses financial history to show why today’s risks are not as new as they appear.

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Miscellaneous
May 2026

Global Unicorn

Value Add VC

Article

6 Pages

Track and analyze 1,336 billion-dollar startups across 48 countries with comprehensive valuations and metrics.

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Miscellaneous
May 2026

351.tax

Tax Alpha Insider

Brent Sullivan

Article

6 Pages

Brent Sullivan created a a database of ETFs seeded in-kind via Section 351 by individuals.

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Miscellaneous
May 2026

Mapping Home Price Changes

Federal Reserve Bank

Article

2 Pages

Explore year-over-year changes in home prices since 2003, both regionally and nationally, using this dynamic map — updated with new home price index data on a monthly basis. Hover over a county for granular data.

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Miscellaneous
May 2026

GDPNow

Federal Reserve Bank

Article

10 Pages

GDPNow forecasting model provides a "nowcast" of the official estimate prior to its release by estimating GDP growth using a methodology similar to the one used by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

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Alternative Assets
May 2026

In Wine Country, Sales Are Down and Fraud is Rampant

The New York Times

Ian Frisch

Research

5 Pages

The New York Times looks at why wine fraud keeps surfacing as the industry faces weaker demand, climate pressure, and financial strain.

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Financial History
April 2026

The Miracle of Markets and the 100-Year Dataset That Changed the World

Dimensional

David Booth

Research

10 Pages

Dimensional explains how 100 years of CRSP market data changed investing by replacing guesswork with evidence.

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AI
April 2026

Misanthropic: on Mythos, bad human behaviors and systems vulnerabilities

J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Michael Cembalest

Research

8 Pages

J.P. Morgan examines Anthropic’s new Mythos model and what its cyber capabilities imply for software, infrastructure, and security spending.

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Financial History
April 2026

Housing Prices, Wars, and Epidemics over Six Centuries

Research

47 Pages

Swiss Finance Institute examines six centuries of Stockholm housing data to test how wars, bubbles, and epidemics affect house prices over time.

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Financial History
April 2026

50 years. 50 facts. Indexing since 1976.

Vanguard

Article

5 Pages

Vanguard shared 50 facts from 50 years of index investing.

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Financial History
April 2026

Reconstructing a Century of U.S. Corporate Bonds: Credit Risk in Historical Perspective

Research

65 Pages

The authors construct a new historical corporate bond database spanning 128 years, from 1895 to 2022, allowing them to estimate a corporate bond counterpart to the equity risk premium.

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Alternative Assets
March 2026

An Index of Commodity Futures Returns Since 1871

Research

22 Pages

The authors document the returns to a broadly diversified index of commodity futures over more than 150 years of U.S. market history.

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Decision Making
March 2026

The Failure Gap

Research

74 Pages

People are systematically unaware of the mishaps, problems, and failures around them, a phenomenon we dub the failure gap.

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Developed Markets
March 2026

The long-term performance of Swiss equities and bonds (1900–2025)

Pictet

Djâafar Aballeche, Nadia Gharbi

Research

12 Pages

Pictet Wealth Management analyzes the long-term performance of Swiss equities and bonds back to 1900.

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Innovation
March 2026

Chips ahoy: The semiconductor

UBS

Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi

Research

12 Pages

This edition of UBS' 250 years of US innovation publication series explores the history and application of the semiconductor and microchip.

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Miscellaneous
March 2026

Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets

Federal Reserve Bank

Research

41 Pages

A Fed study suggest that Kalshi markets provide a high-frequency, continuously updated, distributionally rich benchmark that is valuable to both researchers and policymakers.

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Annual Report
March 2026

Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2026

UBS

Elroy Dimson

Research

24 Pages

The UBS Global Investment Returns Yearbook offers a comprehensive record of long-term performance across stocks, bonds, bills, currencies, and other asset classes, tracing developments back to 1900.

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Miscellaneous
January 2026

A Mystery Trader Made $400,000 Betting on Maduro’s Downfall

The Wall Street Journal

Alexander Osipovich, Caitlin Ostroff

Article

3 Pages

A mystery trader made $400,000 betting on Maduro’s downfall, doubling down with a final bet on Polymarket at 9:58 p.m., shortly before President Trump ordered the military to strike.

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Alternative Assets
December 2025

The Financing Gap in Sports: Unlocking a $2.5 Trillion Opportunity

Apollo

Al Tylis

Research

15 Pages

Apollo explores how professional sports have become a large, underlevered asset class with a financing gap around $2.5 trillion. They argue that structured and private credit can help owners unlock liquidity while preserving control and long term franchise value.

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Financial History
December 2025

Global Housing Returns, Discount Rates, and the Emergence of the Safe Asset, 1465 2024

Paul Schmelzing

Research

77 Pages

Boston College reconstructs centuries of housing returns and discount rates to understand how real estate and sovereign bonds evolved as core assets.

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Miscellaneous
December 2025

The Untold Story of Charlie Munger’s Final Years

The Wall Street Journal

Gregory Zuckerman

Article

3 Pages

Gregory Zuckerman recounts how Charlie Munger spent his final years still learning, investing and mentoring rather than quietly retiring.

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Miscellaneous
November 2025

Thanksgiving Message from Warren Buffett

Berkshire Hathaway

Warren Buffett

Research

8 Pages

Warren Buffett’s farewell style Thanksgiving letter as he prepares to hand day to day leadership to Greg Abel.

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Markets
March 2025

Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2025 (GIRY)

UBS

Elroy Dimson, Dr. Mike Staunton, Paul Marsh

Research

22 Pages

UBS updated their annual GIRY, which highlights the evolution of global markets over the past 125 years.

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Miscellaneous
March 2025

2025 Annual Shareholder Letter

Berkshire Hathaway

Warren Buffett

Research

15 Pages

Warren Buffett’s annual letter touches on the performance of US & Japanese investments, the rationale behind Berkshire’s investments and acquisitions, and more.

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Miscellaneous
February 2025

Probabilities and Payoffs

Morgan Stanley

Michael Mauboussin

Research

49 Pages

Michael Mauboussin explains how quantifying scenario probabilities and mapping them to potential payoffs can improve investment strategies.

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Markets
November 2024

Our Active Purpose: Lessons Learned From 100 Years of Investing

MFS

Research

8 Pages

MFS reflects on the firm's century-long investment journey, emphasizing the enduring value of long-term, fundamentals-driven active management.

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Markets
November 2024

Pricing of Corporate Bonds: Evidence From a Century-Long Cross-Section

Research

48 Pages

This study presents a comprehensive corporate bond return database covering 128 years of U.S. financial history, offering insights into pricing patterns and risk factors that were previously obscured by shorter data samples.

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Miscellaneous
October 2024

Ruminating on Asset Allocation

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

9 Pages

Howard Marks outlines a foundational approach to asset allocation, emphasizing the core choice between ownership and lending, and how investors should consciously balance offense and defense based on their personal risk appetite and market conditions.

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Miscellaneous
September 2024

Quarterly Report

Baron Funds

Ron Baron

Research

10 Pages

Ron Baron’s does a 50 year look back on why he liked McDonald’s in 1970 (so much so that he named his dog Big-Mac), along with his current thoughts on the impact of AI and the benefit of long-term compounding.

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Markets
June 2024

The Life Cycle of Market Champions

Bridgewater

Bob Prince, Thomas Maisonneuve, Khia Kurtenbach

Research

12 Pages

Bridgewater takes a historical look at how market champions of the past and if there are insights into how today’s market champions may perform in the next decade.

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Markets
May 2024

Learn from Last Tech Bubble to Embrace GenAI Mania

Research Affiliates

Que Nguyen

Research

8 Pages

Research Affiliates studies the internet bubble of the 1990s as a guide for how to think about the AI craze today.

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Miscellaneous
April 2024

The Indispensability of Risk

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

4 Pages

Howard Marks shared how he thinks about taking, and not taking, risk.

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Annual Report
March 2024

Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2024 (GIRY)

UBS

Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, Mike Staunton

Research

57 Pages

This annual report from UBS is a great guide to historical returns for, covering 35 markets and five composite indexes, with some dating back to 1900. It’s one of our favorite reads every year.

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Investor Letters
February 2024

Annual Letter to Shareholders

Berkshire Hathaway

Warren Buffett

Research

16 Pages

Warren Buffett reflects on Berkshire Hathaway’s strong 2023 performance, highlighting disciplined capital management, record cash levels, and the company’s readiness to act when opportunities arise.

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Markets
February 2024

Principles for Investing Success

Vanguard

Research

32 Pages

Vanguard shares a guide to help investors focus on what’s important and give them the best chance for investment success.

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Miscellaneous
January 2024

The Intellectual Rot of the Industrially Necessary University

Ben Hunt

Research

29 Pages

Ben Hunt critiques the transformation of modern American universities into rigid, bureaucratic entities that prioritize institutional survival and status over intellectual vitality and public service.

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Investor Letters
February 2023

Shareholder Letter

Berkshire Hathaway

Warren Buffett

Research

10 Pages

Berkshire Hathaway reflects on business performance, capital allocation, and owner mindset, emphasizing endurance, discipline, and partnership.

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Annual Report
February 2023

Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2023

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, Mike Staunton

Research

54 Pages

Credit Suisse Research Institute distills a century plus of global market history to frame realistic expectations for returns and risk.

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Portfolio Management
November 2022

What Really Matters?

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Article

1 Pages

Oaktree Capital explains why successful investing depends far less on forecasting, trading, and short term results than most investors believe.

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Miscellaneous
September 2022

The Illusion of Knowledge

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

1 Pages

Oaktree Capital explains why macroeconomic forecasting often creates the illusion of knowledge rather than a durable investment edge.

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Annual Report
March 2022

Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2022 Summary Edition

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

50 Pages

Credit Suisse explores how 122 years of global asset returns can inform today’s inflation-driven regime shift.

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Investor Letters
May 2021

Trying Too Hard

Batterymarch Financial Management

Dean Williams

Research

9 Pages

Batterymarch Financial Management challenges the idea that better investing comes from more effort, information, or forecasting precision, arguing instead that investors may be overestimating their ability to predict outcomes.

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Investor Letters
May 2021

Investing With Company Insight

Norges Bank Investment Management

Research

176 Pages

Norges Bank Investment Management explains how building company-level insight across a massive sovereign fund can drive consistent excess returns over time.

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Annual Report
March 2021

Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2021 Summary Edition

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

76 Pages

Credit Suisse Research Institute explores over a century of global market returns, with a particular focus on emerging markets and their evolving role in portfolios.

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Miscellaneous
March 2021

2020 Shareholder Letter

Berkshire Hathaway

Warren Buffett

Research

14 Pages

Berkshire Hathaway reflects on its investment philosophy and long term performance, emphasizing disciplined capital allocation and the power of compounding over decades.

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Miscellaneous
February 2021

Annual Investor Presentation

Pershing Square Holdings

Bill Ackman

Research

57 Pages

Pershing Square presents its annual investor update outlining portfolio positioning, performance drivers, and the firm’s concentrated investment philosophy.

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Miscellaneous
May 2020

Uncertainty II

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

7 Pages

Oaktree Capital explains why uncertainty is an unavoidable part of investing and why demanding certainty before acting can become a costly mistake.

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Miscellaneous
May 2020

Uncertainty

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

13 Pages

Oaktree Capital examines why uncertainty is unavoidable in investing and argues that acknowledging its limits can lead to better decision making.

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Miscellaneous
April 2020

Baupost Annual Letter

Baupost Group

Seth A. Klarman

Research

17 Pages

Baupost Group reflects on how the pandemic shock exposed structural market fragility, while unprecedented policy responses distorted risk pricing and investor behavior.

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Portfolio Management
April 2020

Equity Styles And the Spanish Flu

Robeco

Guido Baltussen, Pim van Vliet

Research

5 Pages

Robeco analyzes how equity factor styles behaved during the Spanish Flu alongside World War I, using extended historical data to study market stress before modern datasets.

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Annual Report
February 2020

Summary Edition Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2020

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

48 Pages

Credit Suisse explores over a century of global asset returns, focusing on ESG investing, long-term performance, and factor strategies across 23 markets.

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Miscellaneous
January 2020

You Bet!

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

15 Pages

Oaktree Capital explains how successful investing resembles intelligent betting, where outcomes depend on both skill and luck rather than certainty alone.

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Miscellaneous
December 2019

Berkshire Hathaway 2019 Annual Report

Berkshire Hathaway

Warren Buffett

Research

144 Pages

Berkshire Hathaway’s 2019 annual letter centers on how accounting distortions, capital allocation discipline, and long-term equity optimism shape how investors should interpret performance.

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Decision Making
September 2019

The Psychology of Prediction

The Collaborative Fund

Morgan Housel

Research

14 Pages

Morgan Housel explains how forecasting failures are driven more by human psychology than analytical shortcomings, framing prediction as a behavioral problem rather than a data problem.

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Miscellaneous
June 2019

Russell US Indexes – 40 Years Of Insights

FTSE Russell

Research

31 Pages

FTSE Russell walks through the evolution of its US equity indexes, explaining how a rules-based, comprehensive framework reshaped benchmarking and passive investing.

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Miscellaneous
February 2019

Berkshire Annual Report

Berkshire Hathaway

Warren Buffett

Research

140 Pages

Berkshire Hathaway’s 2018 annual report reflects on long term capital allocation, business performance, and market volatility, with Warren Buffett emphasizing discipline amid a late year equity drawdown.

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Annual Report
February 2019

Summary Edition Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2019

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

43 Pages

Credit Suisse examines 119 years of global asset returns, comparing equities, bonds, and cash while exploring risk premiums, emerging markets, and factor investing across 23 countries.

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Financial History
September 2018

Misleading Lessons of History

Newfound Research

Corey Hoffstein, Justin Sibears

Research

8 Pages

Newfound Research explores how investors often draw misleading conclusions from historical market data, especially when evaluating strategies and asset performance.

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Markets
June 2018

Do Stocks Outperform Treasury bills?

Hendrik Bessembinder

Research

53 Pages

Hendrik Bessembinder examines why broad equity markets outperform Treasury bills even though most individual stocks do not.

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Annual Report
February 2018

Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

43 Pages

Credit Suisse examines 118 years of global asset returns, factor investing, and private wealth performance to frame today’s low return environment.

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Annual Report
February 2018

Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018

Credit Suisse

Research

22 Pages

Credit Suisse explores 118 years of asset returns, factor investing, and private wealth trends to frame today’s low return environment.

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Markets
November 2017

The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015

Federal Reserve Bank

Research

123 Pages

The study investigates historical returns across major asset classes since 1870, finding that both housing and equities have generated similar returns, though housing shows lower volatility. It also highlights that, globally, the weighted rate of return on capital was twice as high as the growth rate in the past 150 years.

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Miscellaneous
October 2017

Catching Up With The Tiger Cubs in 2017

Novus

Stan Altshuller

Research

6 Pages

Novus examines how Tiger Cub hedge funds navigated a difficult 2017 environment shaped by weak stock dispersion and pressure on fundamental investing.

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Investor Interviews
October 2017

Catching Up With The Tiger Cubs in 2017

Novus

Stan Altshuller

Article

1 Pages

Novus examines how Tiger Cub hedge funds navigated a difficult environment for stock pickers in 2017, arguing weak performance reflected market structure more than fading skill.

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Miscellaneous
September 2017

Why Selling a Big Position of Puts the Day Before the Crash of ‘87 was a Great Trade

O’Shaughnessy Asset Management

Jim O'Shaughnessy

Research

2 Pages

Jim O’Shaughnessy reflects on how selling his put position hours before the 1987 crash reshaped his investing philosophy.

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Portfolio Management
June 2017

Historical Returns of the Market Portfolio

Robeco

Ronald Doeswijk

Research

51 Pages

This paper reconstructs the global market portfolio from 1960 through 2015, tracking returns across equities, real estate, and bonds to examine how the average investor actually performed.

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Financial History
June 2017

The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870 to 2015

Katharina Knoll

Research

83 Pages

The authors examine 150 years of returns across housing, equities, bonds, and bills, arguing that housing has historically matched equities while delivering lower volatility.

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Miscellaneous
April 2017

LTCM Brochure

LTCM

Research

12 Pages

Long-Term Capital Management’s white paper explains how leveraged fixed income arbitrage unraveled during the 1998 Russian debt crisis, exposing hidden liquidity risks across global markets.

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Annual Report
February 2017

Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2017: Slide Deck

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

40 Pages

Credit Suisse explores how 117 years of market history can frame expectations for equities, bonds, inflation, and factor investing.

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Financial History
October 2016

Two Centuries of Price-Return Momentum

Financial Analysts Journal

Christopher Geczy, Mikhail Samonov

Research

25 Pages

Financial Analysts Journal examines whether momentum investing persisted across 212 years of US market history using newly assembled stock data from 1801 onward.

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Financial History
October 2016

Echoes of 1999: The Tech Bubble and the “Asian Flu”

Research Affiliates

Rob Arnott

Research

6 Pages

Research Affiliates compares today’s market backdrop to the late 1990s, arguing collapsing inflation expectations, expensive U.S.

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Miscellaneous
August 2016

2016 : What Do You Consider the Most Interesting Recent [Scientific] News? What Makes it Important?

Edge

Article

1 Pages

Edge.org gathers perspectives from nearly 200 scientists and thinkers on the most important scientific developments, spanning AI, genetics, psychology, and cosmology.

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Miscellaneous
August 2016

Thirty Years: Reflections on the Ten Attributes of Great Investors

Credit Suisse

Michael Mauboussin

Research

21 Pages

Credit Suisse reflects on the traits separating great investors from average ones, arguing that psychology, probabilistic thinking, and portfolio construction matter as much as valuation skill.

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Annual Report
February 2016

Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2016

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson

Research

72 Pages

Credit Suisse examines how rising interest rates have historically influenced stocks, bonds, and investor behavior across 21 countries since 1900.

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Financial History
January 2016

The Enduring Effect of Time-Series Momentum on Stock Returns Over Nearly 100-Years

Ian D’Souza

Research

53 Pages

The authors examine whether time-series momentum in stocks has persisted across nearly 100 years, challenging efficient market assumptions.

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Investor Letters
January 2016

2016 Thought Leader Forum

Credit Suisse

Michael Mauboussin

Research

71 Pages

Credit Suisse explores how flawed assumptions, incentive structures, and behavioral biases distort decision making across investing, technology, and machine learning.

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Global Macroeconomics
January 2016

What Does the Market Know?

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

9 Pages

Oaktree Capital explores whether investors should treat market price movements as informed signals or emotional reactions.

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Global Macroeconomics
January 2016

On the Couch

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

16 Pages

Oaktree Capital Management examines how investor psychology, rather than changing fundamentals, often drives market behavior and pricing.

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Investor Interviews
December 2015

Top 10 Interviews

The Manual of Ideas

John Mihaljevic, Shai Dardashti

Research

87 Pages

The Manual of Ideas compiles interviews with ten respected value investors, exploring how they source ideas, manage risk, and think through market cycles.

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Decision Making
June 2015

Risk Revisited Again

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

21 Pages

Oaktree explains why investment risk cannot be reduced to volatility or a single number. Instead, risk reflects uncertain future outcomes, making judgment more valuable than prediction.

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Portfolio Management
April 2015

Why do Family-Controlled Public Companies Outperform? The Value of Disciplined Governance

UBS

Hubert Jeaneau, Bosco Ojeda

Research

44 Pages

This paper examines why family controlled public companies have historically outperformed peers, arguing that disciplined governance and long term ownership may create advantages markets do not fully recognize.

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Investor Letters
March 2015

Charlie Munger Daily Journal 2015 Meeting [FULL NOTES]

Sheeraz Raza

Article

1 Pages

Daily Journal’s 2015 meeting notes capture Charlie Munger’s views on technological disruption, capital allocation, and investor behavior during a period of structural change.

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Miscellaneous
March 2015

Investor Presentation

Third Point Reinsurance

Research

30 Pages

Third Point Reinsurance explains its total return reinsurance model, which combines opportunistic underwriting with hedge fund style investing managed by Third Point LLC.

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Miscellaneous
February 2015

Fourth Quarter 2014 Investor Letter

Third Point Reinsurance

Research

8 Pages

Third Point reflects on navigating volatility in 2014 and outlines its positioning for a turbulent 2015.

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Markets
February 2015

Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2015

Credit Suisse

Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh

Research

68 Pages

Credit Suisse examines how shifting industry leadership, responsible investing, and equity discount rates have shaped long run returns across 115 years and 26 markets.

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Miscellaneous
January 2015

Speech at Lost Tree Club

Stanley Druckenmiller

Research

48 Pages

Stanley Druckenmiller reflects on the principles behind his investing record, emphasizing concentrated conviction, risk management, and independent thinking.

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Markets
May 2014

Changing Times, Changing Values: A Historical Analysis of Sectors within the US Stock Market 1872-2013

Oliver Bunn, Robert Shiller

Research

76 Pages

This paper examines how passive investing’s explosive growth may be distorting market structure, weakening price discovery, and increasing concentration risk across equities.

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Miscellaneous
April 2014

Omega Update

Omega Advisors

Research

34 Pages

Omega Advisors examines early 2014 market volatility, arguing investor positioning and complacency mattered more than macro headlines.

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Portfolio Management
April 2014

Dare to Be Great II

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

10 Pages

Oaktree Capital explains why consistently outperforming requires investors to think and act differently from the crowd.

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Miscellaneous
March 2014

“Hidden In Plain Sight” Thoughts and Takeaways from the 2014 Wine Country Conference

FPA

Steven Romick

Research

8 Pages

FPA examines how ultra loose monetary policy and historically expensive markets are distorting investor behavior, leaving few attractive opportunities despite strong equity performance.

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Miscellaneous
January 2014

Getting Lucky

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

13 Pages

Oaktree explores how luck, skill, and timing interact to shape investment outcomes and long term success.

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Miscellaneous
May 2013

The Eclectica Fund

Eclectica Asset Management

Research

2 Pages

Eclectica Asset Management examines why defensive equities, a stronger US dollar, Japanese stocks, and short duration sovereign bonds could benefit from diverging global economic conditions.

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Miscellaneous
March 2013

Would the real Peter and Paul please stand up?

Edelweiss Holdings

Dylan Grice

Research

8 Pages

Edelweiss examines how aggressive monetary policy can reshape wealth distribution, weaken trust, and create unintended social consequences beyond inflation alone.

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Miscellaneous
February 2013

Is the Great Rotation Starting?

Sizemore Capital

Charles Sizemore

Research

8 Pages

Sizemore Capital Management examines whether the long anticipated shift from bonds into stocks has truly begun, arguing dividend paying equities remain more attractive than low yielding bonds.

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lace
Miscellaneous
October 2012

The Best of Charlie Munger: 1994-2011

Charlie Munger

Research

349 Pages

Charlie Munger’s collected speeches and Wesco meeting notes explore investing through psychology, mental models, and multidisciplinary thinking.

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Financial History
March 2012

Déjà Vu All Over Again

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

11 Pages

Oaktree Capital explains why investors should study history instead of assuming recent market trends will continue indefinitely.

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Miscellaneous
January 2012

Reading About the Financial Crisis: A 21-Book Review

Andrew Lo

Research

41 Pages

This paper reviews 21 books on the financial crisis to show how dramatically credible observers can disagree about the same events.

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Miscellaneous
September 2011

The Lessons of History – Endowment and Foundation Investing Today

John Bogle

Research

15 Pages

This paper examines what 15 years of endowment investing can teach about portfolio construction, risk, and future returns.

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Real Assets
December 2010

All That Glitters

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

12 Pages

Oaktree Capital examines the investment case for gold by weighing its strengths as a store of value against the challenges of valuing an asset without cash flows.

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Miscellaneous
December 2008

Volatility + Leverage = Dynamite

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

13 Pages

Oaktree examines how excessive leverage combined with misunderstood risk turned a housing downturn into a financial crisis.

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Markets
October 2008

The Limits to Negativism

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

10 Pages

Oaktree examines how extreme investor pessimism can create opportunity by separating probable outcomes from emotional narratives during financial crises.

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Financial History
September 2007

Now It’s All Bad?

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

15 Pages

Oaktree examines how excessive leverage, easy liquidity, and shifting investor psychology turned a contained subprime mortgage problem into a broader credit crisis.

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Miscellaneous
July 2007

It’s All Good… Really?

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

10 Pages

Oaktree Capital Management explains how small financial shocks can spread through markets when leverage, psychology, and interconnected risks amplify their effects.

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Miscellaneous
July 2007

It’s All Good

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

14 Pages

Oaktree Capital Management examines how market cycles, investor psychology, and abundant credit can create dangerous periods of excessive optimism.

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Miscellaneous
February 2007

The Race to the Bottom

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

10 Pages

Oaktree Capital Management examines how abundant liquidity and intense competition can push investors and lenders toward weaker underwriting standards and greater risk.

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Alternative Assets
December 2006

Pigweed

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

14 Pages

Oaktree explains how the collapse of Amaranth exposed timeless lessons about leverage, risk management, and investor behavior.

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Portfolio Management
September 2006

Dare to Be Great

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

14 Pages

Oaktree Capital explains why consistently outperforming requires more than simply avoiding mistakes.

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Decision Making
January 2006

Risk

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

13 Pages

Oaktree explains why investment risk is far more complex than volatility, arguing that the real danger is the potential for permanent capital loss rather than short term price swings.

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Economics
May 2004

Us and Them

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

9 Pages

Oaktree Capital Management explores the fundamental differences between investors who believe they can forecast markets and those who embrace uncertainty.

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Active Management
September 2003

What’s Your Game Plan?

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

8 Pages

Oaktree explains why long term investment success depends more on avoiding major mistakes than chasing spectacular wins.

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Decision Making
March 2002

The Realist’s Creed

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

12 Pages

Oaktree Capital Management explains why successful investing depends less on forecasting and more on managing uncertainty with discipline.

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Miscellaneous
November 2001

You Can’t Predict. You Can Prepare.

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

12 Pages

Oaktree explains why successful investing depends less on predicting the future and more on understanding cycles.

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Portfolio Management
October 1990

The Route to Performance

Oaktree

Howard Marks

Research

3 Pages

Oaktree Capital Management examines how superior long term investment performance comes from avoiding major mistakes rather than making heroic bets.

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